This ‘COVID-19 Pandemic Trade-Offs’ Report throws light on what next year might look like once we open up to the world Objective: This report draws out the important findings from version 3 of COVID-19 Pandemic Tradeoffs modelling, complemented by the interactive web-tool available online at pandemictradeoffs.com. In this report, we focus on the year after […]
What should be in Victoria’s school reopening plan
The pandemic has hugely disrupted the lives of Victoria’s schoolchildren Melbourne students missed about 20 weeks of face-to-face school in 2020 and have already missed another 10 weeks so far in 2021. And given current high levels of community transmission, the prospects for children returning to school in Melbourne for the start of Term 4 […]
NSW risks a second larger COVID peak by Christmas if it eases restrictions too quickly
New South Wales plans to relax restrictions when vaccination targets of 70% and 80% of those aged 16 years and over are met. The national plan was based on the assumption there would be just 30 cases when restrictions were lifted. However, NSW may have cases in the hundreds or thousands when restrictions are relaxed. The current discussion has […]
Vaccination alone not enough to control COVID-19
VACCINATION alone is not enough to achieve control of the COVID-19 pandemic, experts warn, proposing a raft of measures to avoid a crippling resurgence of disease once restrictions are lifted. Professor Raina MacIntyre, head of the biosecurity research program at the University of NSW’s Kirby Institute, is one of 48 members of a new independent […]
Christmas COVID-19 peak ‘will overwhelm NSW hospitals’
he current NSW reopening plan risks a Christmas COVID-19 spike that could overwhelm intensive care units for five weeks and drive the total number of Delta deaths beyond 1000, a group of experienced Australian scientists have warned.The recently formed OzSAGE group has released modelling suggesting relaxing of restrictions when there is still high community transmission […]